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We predicted the outcome of roulette in actual casino play by timing the ball and rotor of the roulette wheel.
Before we did anything, we gathered data. At first we used the home-made "KIN" computer to time the ball and rotor (wheel) surreptitiously -- in a casino. The KIN computer was interfaced with a speech synthesizer; this hardware was left over from a previous project, the Black Jack machine. With the help of my friend Rita and Richard, we three timed the ball and wheel in a casino. (At the time we did not own a roulette wheel.) I wore all computer hardware concealed on my person; I think Rita had the our cassette recorder in her purse. One of the timing switches (Rita's switch) was attached to the rear of my belt. Rita would stand beside me and embrace me with one arm form behind, inside my overcoat, so that she could enter the revolution times of the rotor with the belt switch. I timed the ball revolutions by using a switch in my trouser pocket. The speech synthesizer spoke the revolution times onto a tape recorder. We also spoke the landing pocket onto the recording. The speech output from the computer was temporally compressed so that it had a high pitch when played back at normal speed. This compression was made so that everything would be recorded quickly in real time. A rheostat inserted into the recorder's drive motor allowed for slowing its motor speed, enabling us to play the tape so that it could be understood. Listen to a sample. This data retrieval was time consuming, so we abandoned it, after having purchased the Radio Shack "PC2" (and the clone: Sharp PC-1500 PIC ; Wiki) computer pictured here. Next, we did our analysis and prediction in two phases. In the first phase we used a concealed computer (Radio-Shack PC2) to gather data on ball and rotor speed, using a computer program that could time the ball and wheel speeds (revolution times). No attempt at prediction was made in this phase. The computer ran BASIC (WikiPedia)-- the timing routines were loaded as machine language, using "pokes". For each trial, data representing revolution times and the resulting winning number were then uploaded to an APPLE-II computer for analysis, Via a modem. The object of the analysis was to smooth the data points thus obtained and to determine the parameters of the decay curves for the ball and for the rotor. The PC2 computer was modified to interface with an APPLE II computer, (for uploading the timing data for analysis) as well as with with a speech synthesizer to announce the predicted winning number (in the second phase). Having determined these parameters from the uploaded data on the APPLE II, we typed them into the PC2 computer. This information is unique to each wheel and was required top load the prediction program. (Shown here is the PC2 computer attached to its docking station. The docking station had a four-color plotter (left) and a modem (black box at rear).
Radio-Shack PC2 computer / Sharp PC-1500 computer Wiki
If you are seriously considering this, you will find this book of IMMENSE interest.
(I promise :)It's the story of techno-nerds who did a similar project as THIS [-ed].
The single-zero wheel is used in Asia and in Europe. This is picture is freely given at roulette tables at the Lisboa Casino. Our wheel
We required two experimenters for this operation during play; one to clock the ball and wheel, to enter the winning number and position on the rim of the wheel (between 12 o'clock and and 12 o'clock) Another experimenter placed the bets at the table. Communication was via infrared. During the second phase, at the roulette table, the actual predictions were made by the PC2 computer . The speech synthesizer transmitted the wining number to the second player via an infra-red link built into each of the two experimenter's shoes.
The PC2 Computer. Interface for timing switches, landing position switches, and speech synthesizer input is via connector at right.
The wires from the connector connected to various points within the "works" of the computer.Keypad for entering switch-presses The data collected were:
- time for ball revolution
- time for rotor revolution
- winning number
- the position on the rim of the wheel where the ball touched down
- the number that would have won if no ball skip had occurred.
We had a four buttons arranged in a square, strapped to the top of the leg with a Velcro strap.
We cut a slit in the pants' pocket so we could press the switches directly, and epoxied a
washer onto the top of some of the switches so that they would stand out tactally.
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The speech synthesizer and |
![]() Infra-red transmitter |
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Everything which was worn by the |
![]() One experimenter's shoe. The infrared receiver is embedded behind the wire grid in the sole. |
This work was done by my friend
Richard and me. |
![]() Richard (right) about the time of inception of the Roulette project, ca 1980. Mike Eggett (left) looks on. Photo: MINOX 8mm film |
![]() A picture of me ca 1982. |
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Experimental setup for accurate measurement in the lab. |
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The KIN is inserted into socket on a
test-kludge box (right); |
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( This casino quality double-zero roulette wheel is for sale, by the way :).\ |
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As for timing, we used an arbitrary imagined "12 O'clock" position as a reference point on the rim of the wheel. We used the same point for both the ball and the wheel. When the ball or wheel passed the point, one of us would press the appropriate ball or wheel switch. Pressing for both ball and wheel at
the same time was too confusing. So we timed the wheel first for a few
presses. The wheel is quite predictable for several seconds in
advance. It slows at a very steady r "Prediction is very difficult, especially of the future" -- Niels Bohr
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Copyright @Com 2009. Last updated 06.21.2009